|Combined Archive, Topical|
SepPRN: Vol. 3, Num. 3 | September 6, 2013
The World Is Watching
The thesis of this newsletter is that the world is experiencing an unusual period of shaking since 2006. There is a volatility and soft-anarchy across the globe, and nowhere do we find a center that is holding.
JulPRN: Vol. 3, Num. 2 | July 12, 2013
Shaking, Equilibrium, or Somewhere In Between?
The worldwide global shaking since 2006 has been the topic of this newsletter (*see specific examples below). For the past 6-9 months, I've been reassessing the data. Three specific issues, in particular, caused me to consider the possibility we might be transitioning to a new equilibrium: US politics, Israeli poli... read more »
MarPRN: Vol. 3, Num. 1 | March 9, 2013
The Usual Unusuals
Our Special Moment in History is a time of mathematical aberrations in all
directions. It is now routine to see the highly unusual, whether in science,
technology, economics, politics, or international relations.
DecPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 7 | December 20, 2012
The Tightening Noose around the Neck of Israel
A myriad swirling currents have distracted eyes from the boiling Middle East despite its accelerating pandemonium. For Israel's part, they are five-times-more surrounded than when Obama first took office. But our attention has been fixed on other pressing matters: the election, fiscal cliff, Hurricane Sandy's $70 billion... read more »
OctPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 6 | October 11, 2012
The Advancing Wall of Darkness, Part Two
In the previous issue we looked at the US and Eurozone economies. Now for Part Two: updates on the Arab Spring and Israel-Iran conflict. In the broader context, the speed of change continues its breathtaking pace, and we remain stuck in an unprecedented worldwide acceleration trap. It is a privilege to live... read more »
SepPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 5 | September 24, 2012
The Advancing Wall of Darkness
The shaking of the world system, something I first marked in mid-2006, has been documented
here for the past eighteen months. There appears to be no end in sight. By my judgment,
the trends continue toward more dysfunction.
MayPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 4 | May 29, 2012
Making It Up As We Go
For ... read more »
AprPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 3 | April 12, 2012
To the rescue of Islam; to the ruin of the world
MarSTAT: Vol. 2, Num. 1 | March 5, 2012
Israel-Iran: A "Most Important" Day
Since last night's newsletter, much has happened.
MarPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 2 | March 4, 2012
Israel vs. Iran
Where the offence is, let the great axe fall. (Shakespeare, Hamlet)
JanPRN: Vol. 2, Num. 1 | January 22, 2012
Every Major Area of the World in Play: The Middle East on the Brink
Two weeks ago I noticed something unique, at least in my experience--the entire world is now in play. By this, I mean that every important region and country is simultaneously being disrupted by economic tension, political instability, or international threats. I've never seen such a situation in thirty years of close ob... read more »
DecPRN: Vol. 1, Num. 8 | December 12, 2011
Tightly-Coupled Systems: Everything's Connected to Everything Else
Two months ago, an Arizona utility worker doing routine maintenance removed a piece of monitoring equipment at a power substation near Yuma. Inexplicably, it triggered a massive power outage stretching from Mexico to Orange County. Five million people lost electricity. Traffic gridlocked, schools and universities closed,... read more »
NovPRN: Vol. 1, Num. 7 | November 27, 2011
A Classic Greek Tragedy (and other Comedies)
Looking at our besieged globe, it's difficult to know if we're dealing with a tragedy or a comedy. Whatever your viewpoint, it certainly smells a lot like my Chicago Cubs. Win a few games, then strike out--again!--with the bases loaded. Aargh. Collectively, we are like wounded exhausted soldiers trying to... read more »
OctPRN: Vol. 1, Num. 6 | October 7, 2011
Approaching an Event Horizon?
The cover of today's The Economist (Britain's respected 170-year-old news weekly) shows a swirling black hole sucking in the words "Be Afraid." The insinuation is we're nearing an event horizon, the devastating boundary at the mouth of a black hole beyond which nothing can escape, not even light. The past few week... read more »
SepPRN: Vol. 1, Num. 5 | September 5, 2011
Good Night Irene, Good Riddance August
I step away for a month to finish a book and look what happens. The weirdness keeps piling up. Send in the clowns.
My thesis throughout these newsletters is that the world is behaving strangely. History has morphed and no longer plays by the rules. The math continues its dysfunctional, unpredictable, and almo... read more »
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